Started May 15, 2020 11:35AM UTC   •   Closing Jun 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC

Which of these groups will be the first to receive approval for a COVID-19 vaccine before 1 June 2021?

Name Probability
Moderna 10%
AstraZeneca / Oxford University (Jenner Institute) 6%
CanSino Biologics 3%
Pfizer and BioNTech (collaboration) 53%
Inovio Pharmaceuticals 4%
Another group 12%
There will not be a vaccine approved before 1 June 2021 11%

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