Started Jun 10, 2020 07:59PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 20, 2020 03:59AM UTC

Will the 7-day average of daily COVID-19 deaths in New York State for the week of 14 June to 20 June 2020 exceed 60?

This question will be resolved using data from the COVID Tracking Project for New York State under "deaths" by calculating the average new deaths from 14 to 20 June 2020: https://covidtracking.com/data/state/new-york

The 7-day average for 24 to 30 May was 80.86 deaths.

Resolution Notes
Thanks everyone for your forecasts and comments. This question resolved “No” as the 7-day average of deaths in New York State from 14-20 June was 26 and therefore did not exceed 60. The crowd forecast at the time of resolution was 3%, and was below 50% since 11 June.

Final Crowd Forecast

3%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

6

Forecast
Count

7

Crowd Brier Score

0.0108


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.009
2.
-0.001
3.
-0.001
5.
0.003

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