Question 2 of 2 in U.S. Northeast Region
Started Jun 10, 2020 08:26PM UTC   •   Closing Dec 01, 2020 04:59AM UTC

When will the 7-day average of daily positive COVID-19 cases in New York State exceed 8,000?

Challenges

This question will be resolved using data from the New York State Department of Health COVID-19 Tracker, for "persons tested positive": https://covid19tracker.health.ny.gov/views/NYS-COVID19-Tracker/NYSDOHCOVID-19Tracker-DailyTracker?%3Aembed=yes&%3Atoolbar=no&%3Atabs=n

Resolution will occur on the 7th day of a 7-day stretch with a qualifying average. The 7-day average for 7 June was 1,012.57 (1 June: 1,329; 2 June: 1,045; 3 June: 1,048; 4 June: 1,075; 5 June: 1,108; 6 June: 781; 7 June: 702).

Name Probability
Before 1 September 2020 0%
Between 1 September and 30 September 2020 4%
Between 1 October and 31 October 2020 5%
Between 1 November and 30 November 2020 8%
Not before 1 December 2020 83%

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