Started Jul 07, 2020 08:31PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 10, 2020 08:00AM UTC

Will the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the US be higher than 3,000,000 by end of July?

Challenges
Global  

The outcome will be determined with WHO situation reports, which are published daily, under "total confirmed cases": https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports

Resolution Notes
On 10 July, the total number of COVID-19 cases in the US reached 3,038,325 according to the WHO: https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200710-covid-19-sitrep-172.pdf?sfvrsn=70724b90_2

Final Crowd Forecast

100%

Chance

Correct Answer

Yes

No. of
Forecasters

7

Forecast
Count

7

Crowd Brier Score

0.0


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
0.0
4.
0.0
5.
0.0

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