Started Jul 07, 2020 08:32PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 18, 2020 08:00AM UTC

Will the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in Brazil be higher than 2,000,000 by end of July?

Challenges
Global  

The outcome will be determined with WHO situation reports, which are published daily, under "total confirmed cases": https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports

Resolution Notes
Thanks for your forecasts. According to the WHO, on 18 July the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in Brazil reached 2,012,151, exceeding 2 million: https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200718-covid-19-sitrep-180.pdf?sfvrsn=39b31718_2

Final Crowd Forecast

91%

Chance

Correct Answer

Yes

No. of
Forecasters

5

Forecast
Count

6

Crowd Brier Score

0.0177


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.001
2.
-0.001
4.
0.072

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