Started Jul 07, 2020 08:32PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 31, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Will the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in Russia be higher than 1,500,000 by end of July?

Challenges
Global  

The outcome will be determined with WHO situation reports, which are published daily, under "total confirmed cases": https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports

Resolution Notes
As of the end of July, reported Covid-19 cases in Russia were still under 900k, so they did not come close to surpassing 1.5M cases.

Final Crowd Forecast

3%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

7

Forecast
Count

9

Crowd Brier Score

0.0055


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
0.0
2.
0.0
4.
0.0
5.
0.0

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